Regional winter outlook

Southern Plains: Wetter odds rise; snowfall depends heavily on latitude, elevation and cold-air timing.

Current NOAA-informed winter signal for Southern Plains, with snowfall treated separately from precipitation.

Current signal

The CPC outlook favors above-normal precipitation across parts of the southern and central Plains as El Niño influence strengthens. Temperature signals are less uniform than precipitation.

Temperature: mixed · Precipitation: wetter · Snow: mixed / locally higher · Confidence: 4/5

What this means for snow

Eastern Colorado and parts of the central/southern High Plains have historically seen a positive El Niño snowfall tendency, while warmer parts of Texas and Oklahoma more often convert the extra moisture to rain.

Travel planning

More active southern-stream storms can raise the chance of disruptive rain, ice or snow episodes, but the exact type is weather-scale, not season-scale.

Ski and mountain planning

Colorado can benefit when southern-stream moisture overlaps with cold air, but the statewide outcome is not uniform and northern Colorado can behave differently from the southern mountains.

Why this result can still be wrong

Seasonal outlooks are probabilistic. A region labeled warmer can still have cold outbreaks; a wetter region can still have long dry stretches. Shorter-term patterns such as the Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation and individual storm tracks can dominate a week or even a month.

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Separate temperature, precipitation and snow signals for winter 2026–27.

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